Why Mary Peltola is on track to win in Alaska, even if ranked choice ballots come into play

Mary Peltola is increasingly likely to defeat Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska’s unresolved Senate race, according to an NBC News Decision Desk analysis. Peltola leads by 3.7 percentage points, or just over 10,000 votes, with 96% of expected ballots counted. The final outcome may depend on ranked-choice tabulation, which could take place Nov. 18 after remaining absentee ballots arrive.