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從預測市場 看台北市長選舉趨勢
將 Yahoo 設為首選來源,在 Google 上查看更多我們的精彩報導 台北市長選舉尚未投票,國際預測市場Polymarket卻已為選舉結果開出價格。根據10月30日的市場,蔣萬安的隱含勝率約69%,沈伯洋約30.4%,累計交易量已達243萬美元,折合接近新台幣8000萬元。 更有趣的是,沈伯洋相關合約的累計交易量約116.6萬美元,甚至略高於蔣萬安的113.3萬美元,顯...
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